Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.133894 0.154882 0.178055 0.205536 0.237238 0.272667 0.315276
2025-11-16 0.101810 0.130242 0.164863 0.210118 0.267732 0.338667 0.432723
2025-11-23 0.083406 0.114423 0.154849 0.211383 0.288444 0.389905 0.533843
2025-11-30 0.071650 0.104069 0.148730 0.214727 0.309838 0.442099 0.640359
2025-12-07 0.060738 0.092703 0.138906 0.210530 0.318861 0.476812 0.725164
2025-12-14 0.052662 0.084024 0.131352 0.207932 0.328874 0.512843 0.814730
2025-12-21 0.047326 0.078634 0.127773 0.210454 0.346286 0.561040 0.927442
2025-12-28 0.044335 0.076479 0.128797 0.220067 0.375574 0.630368 1.081011
2026-01-04 0.041062 0.073364 0.127761 0.225926 0.398987 0.692169 1.228475
2026-01-11 0.038072 0.070316 0.126385 0.230853 0.421049 0.753564 1.381444
2026-01-18 0.034990 0.066691 0.123523 0.232679 0.437576 0.806655 1.524912
2026-01-25 0.031605 0.062081 0.118333 0.229555 0.444516 0.842932 1.640932
2026-02-01 0.027964 0.056610 0.111052 0.221867 0.442393 0.862963 1.729959
2026-02-08 0.026236 0.054689 0.110313 0.226766 0.465168 0.932573 1.923384
2026-02-15 0.024305 0.052111 0.107971 0.228131 0.480918 0.989889 2.098180
2026-02-22 0.022807 0.050242 0.106819 0.231738 0.501516 1.058768 2.303928
2026-03-01 0.020703 0.046824 0.102079 0.227211 0.504414 1.091399 2.436292
2026-03-08 0.018977 0.044030 0.098346 0.224407 0.510637 1.131484 2.588901
2026-03-15 0.017869 0.042495 0.097174 0.227129 0.529321 1.200204 2.812488
2026-03-22 0.017423 0.042437 0.099275 0.237500 0.566424 1.313259 3.149288
2026-03-29 0.016706 0.041653 0.099628 0.243821 0.594759 1.409256 3.456490
2026-04-05 0.015970 0.040736 0.099569 0.249136 0.621242 1.503549 3.769679
2026-04-12 0.015080 0.039334 0.098204 0.251106 0.639775 1.580853 4.049582